Note: For technical purposes could mention tie in almost all scenarios, but will avoid it as the chances of happening is minimal.
AFC
Chargers:
A) Clinched #1
Texans:
#2
A) Win
B) lose + Titans lose
#5
A) Lose + Titans win
Titans:
#2
A) Win + Texans lose
#5
A) Win + Texans Win
B) Lose + Chiefs lose
#6
A) Lose + Chiefs win
Chiefs:
#5
A) Win + Titans lose
#6
A) Any other scenario
Jets
#3
A) Win + Ravens lose
#4
A) Win + Ravens win
Patriots
#3
A) Win + Jets lose
Bills
#3
A) Win + Patriots lose + Ravens lose
#4
A) Win + Patriots lose + Ravens win
Ravens
#3
A) Win + Patriots don't win AFC East (Pats win + jets lose)
#4
A) Win + Jets win
B) Lose + Browns lose
Browns
#4
A) Win + Ravens lose
*Nfc coming up soon
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